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Bitcoin's performance in December has been relatively mild, with the cryptocurrency only experiencing a 2.4% decrease from its opening level. Despite some recent selling pressure, Bitcoin remains a strong investment in 2024, with a nearly 50% increase in the fourth quarter. Analysts and traders are closely monitoring key support levels and trend lines, indicating that as long as these remain intact, the bullish outlook for Bitcoin continues. The market's behavior this year is noted to mimic patterns from 2023, leading some to predict future movements based on historical data. Additionally, attention is being paid to the realized price for short-term holders, which could signal a potential reversal if Bitcoin's price approaches this level. However, caution is advised as any significant drop below critical support levels could necessitate a reevaluation of the market's direction.
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MoonPay, a leading fiat-to-crypto on-ramp provider, has acquired Helio, a Solana-based payment processor, for $175 million. This strategic acquisition aims to bolster MoonPay's infrastructure by integrating Helio's technology, which is known for its crypto checkout platform that allows businesses to accept payments in various digital assets like Bitcoin, Ether, Solana’s SOL, and USD Coin. Helio has already made a significant impact in the e-commerce sector, supporting over 6,000 merchants and handling transactions worth over $1.5 billion. The acquisition is expected to not only expand MoonPay's trading and marketplace volume but also provide a more comprehensive payment solution for merchants, developers, and consumers. Stijn Paumen, co-founder and CEO of Helio, highlighted the firm's mission to make crypto payments accessible, having reached millions of customers through its merchant network. This move by MoonPay is part of a broader strategy to replace traditional, slow, and costly payment methods with faster, more affordable, and decentralized solutions.
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Laser Digital, Nomura's digital asset subsidiary, predicts a significant year for cryptocurrency ETFs in 2025, with over twelve potential launches in the U.S. if approved by the SEC. The report highlights that asset managers have already submitted twelve filings, proposing various innovative products like a ProShares ETF that tracks the S&P 500's return in bitcoin, a combined bitcoin/ether ETF, and ETFs based on other cryptocurrencies like litecoin, XRP, and Solana. The success of spot bitcoin ETFs, exemplified by Blackrock's iShares Bitcoin Trust, which amassed $53 billion in assets in its first 11 months, underscores the potential market for these new offerings. The regulatory landscape is also shifting with the appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC chairman and the expected influence of a crypto-friendly administration under President-elect Donald Trump, which could facilitate the approval of these ETFs. Grayscale is also moving to convert its Solana Trust into an ETF, signaling further interest in this space.
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The bitcoin mining ecosystem has hit a new peak with the mining difficulty adjustment soaring to 110.45 trillion, marking it as the eighth consecutive positive adjustment. This escalation in difficulty intensifies the competition among miners, making it increasingly challenging to mine new blocks and earn bitcoin rewards. As a result, some publicly traded mining companies have begun to explore alternative revenue streams in high-performance computing and artificial intelligence, unable to sustain operations solely through bitcoin mining. Notably, MARA Holdings has also ventured into issuing convertible bonds to acquire more bitcoin and optimize revenue through lending. Historical data shows mixed outcomes following such difficulty adjustments; for instance, after the China mining ban in 2021, bitcoin experienced a bull run followed by a bear market, while in 2018, similar adjustments preceded both market highs and lows. Despite these fluctuations, the network's hashrate remains robust, currently at 775 EH/s, with projections suggesting it could reach 1 zettahash per second before the next halving.