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Bitcoin's reserves on exchanges have dwindled to levels not seen since June 2018, with only 2.35 million BTC available as of January 13, according to CryptoQuant data. This decline is largely attributed to institutional investors, including hedge funds, who are capitalizing on the current dip in Bitcoin's price. André Dragosch from Bitwise highlighted that hedge funds are increasing their exposure to Bitcoin, suggesting a potential supply shock if demand continues to outstrip the available supply. Despite this, Bitcoin's recovery to surpass the $100,000 mark is hindered by low trading volumes, as noted by Ryan Lee from Bitget Research. The broader cryptocurrency market also reflects this trend, with trading volumes at their lowest since before the U.S. elections, indicating a lack of market excitement. However, analysts remain optimistic, predicting Bitcoin could reach a cycle top above $150,000 by late 2025, driven by an expected increase in global money supply.
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MoonPay, a leading fiat-to-crypto on-ramp provider, has acquired Helio, a Solana-based payment processor, for $175 million. This strategic acquisition aims to bolster MoonPay's infrastructure by integrating Helio's technology, which is known for its crypto checkout platform that allows businesses to accept payments in various digital assets like Bitcoin, Ether, Solana’s SOL, and USD Coin. Helio has already made a significant impact in the e-commerce sector, supporting over 6,000 merchants and handling transactions worth over $1.5 billion. The acquisition is expected to not only expand MoonPay's trading and marketplace volume but also provide a more comprehensive payment solution for merchants, developers, and consumers. Stijn Paumen, co-founder and CEO of Helio, highlighted the firm's mission to make crypto payments accessible, having reached millions of customers through its merchant network. This move by MoonPay is part of a broader strategy to replace traditional, slow, and costly payment methods with faster, more affordable, and decentralized solutions.
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Laser Digital, Nomura's digital asset subsidiary, predicts a significant year for cryptocurrency ETFs in 2025, with over twelve potential launches in the U.S. if approved by the SEC. The report highlights that asset managers have already submitted twelve filings, proposing various innovative products like a ProShares ETF that tracks the S&P 500's return in bitcoin, a combined bitcoin/ether ETF, and ETFs based on other cryptocurrencies like litecoin, XRP, and Solana. The success of spot bitcoin ETFs, exemplified by Blackrock's iShares Bitcoin Trust, which amassed $53 billion in assets in its first 11 months, underscores the potential market for these new offerings. The regulatory landscape is also shifting with the appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC chairman and the expected influence of a crypto-friendly administration under President-elect Donald Trump, which could facilitate the approval of these ETFs. Grayscale is also moving to convert its Solana Trust into an ETF, signaling further interest in this space.
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The bitcoin mining ecosystem has hit a new peak with the mining difficulty adjustment soaring to 110.45 trillion, marking it as the eighth consecutive positive adjustment. This escalation in difficulty intensifies the competition among miners, making it increasingly challenging to mine new blocks and earn bitcoin rewards. As a result, some publicly traded mining companies have begun to explore alternative revenue streams in high-performance computing and artificial intelligence, unable to sustain operations solely through bitcoin mining. Notably, MARA Holdings has also ventured into issuing convertible bonds to acquire more bitcoin and optimize revenue through lending. Historical data shows mixed outcomes following such difficulty adjustments; for instance, after the China mining ban in 2021, bitcoin experienced a bull run followed by a bear market, while in 2018, similar adjustments preceded both market highs and lows. Despite these fluctuations, the network's hashrate remains robust, currently at 775 EH/s, with projections suggesting it could reach 1 zettahash per second before the next halving.
