Bitcoin Is at Its Lowest Level Since November 2024. Should Investors Be Worried?

Key Points

  • Bitcoin hit an all-time high of over $109,000 on Jan. 20, but has since dropped by about 25% to $82,000.
  • Historically, Bitcoin has experienced much more severe price drops, with losses of 77% or more.
  • Long-term holding of Bitcoin has shown to outperform other major asset classes, with average annualized returns of 44% over various time frames.
  • Bitcoin's volatility is decreasing over time, with current 30-day historical volatility at around 3.5%, lower than in previous years.
  • Recent investor outflows from Bitcoin ETFs to gold ETFs suggest a shift in perception of Bitcoin as a store of value.

Summary

Bitcoin's price has experienced a significant downturn since reaching an all-time high of over $109,000 on January 20, dropping by about 25% to $82,000. Despite this decline, historical data shows that Bitcoin has weathered much more severe price swings in the past. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest highlights that Bitcoin has lost 77% or more of its value on at least five occasions, suggesting that the current dip is relatively mild. Over longer periods, Bitcoin has consistently outperformed other major asset classes, with average annualized returns of 44%. Moreover, Bitcoin's volatility, while often highlighted in the media, is actually decreasing, with recent 30-day volatility at 3.5%, significantly lower than during previous bull markets. However, investor sentiment seems to be shifting, with outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and inflows into gold ETFs indicating a possible reevaluation of Bitcoin's role as a safe-haven asset. For investors, the advice remains to hold Bitcoin for the long term, despite short-term market turbulence.

The Motley Fool
March 19, 2025
Crypto
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