Bitcoin-Leveraged Play MicroStrategy's Bullish Call Skew Disappears in Cautious Market Sentiment

Key Points

  • Traders are no longer chasing upside in MicroStrategy (MSTR), indicating a shift to a more cautious market sentiment.
  • MSTR's 250-day put-call skew has returned to zero from -20%, showing a neutral sentiment from previously bullish.
  • MSTR's share price has dropped over 44% since its peak, with a significant 34% decline in the last two weeks.
  • The appeal of MSTR as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin is diminishing as investors find direct investment in Bitcoin more cost-effective.

Summary

The article discusses a notable shift in market sentiment towards MicroStrategy (MSTR), a company known for its significant Bitcoin holdings. Previously, MSTR was seen as a leveraged play on Bitcoin, but recent trends indicate a cooling of this enthusiasm. The 250-day put-call skew for MSTR has normalized, suggesting that traders are no longer aggressively betting on an upward movement in MSTR's stock price. This change coincides with a substantial drop in MSTR's share price, which has fallen by over 44% from its peak, with a 34% decline in just the past two weeks. The article highlights that while MSTR has been a significant beneficiary of Bitcoin's rise, its stock's underperformance compared to Bitcoin's stability suggests that investors are reevaluating the value of holding MSTR as a proxy for Bitcoin investment. Markus Thielen from 10x Research notes that the narrative of companies using Bitcoin as a treasury asset strategy is losing momentum, particularly as direct investment in Bitcoin becomes more appealing due to lower costs.

yahoo
January 2, 2025
Crypto
Read article

Related news