Bitcoin's Computing Power May Hit a Major Milestone Long Before Next Halving

Key Points

  • Bitcoin's hashrate is projected to reach 1 zettahash per second (ZH/s) before the next halving in about 3.5 years, pushing miners to secure cheaper power and more efficient equipment.
  • The hashrate has grown by an average of 65% annually since 2020, currently at around 787 EH/s, and could hit 1 ZH/s by 2027 even with a 20% annual growth rate.
  • Increased hashrate leads to higher energy costs, compelling miners to optimize operations for profitability and network security, which has seen a 56% increase in the past year.
  • Post-April 2024 halving, miners faced reduced revenue, leading some to pivot to AI computing or buy bitcoin on the open market to survive.
  • The mining difficulty has also increased, with seven consecutive positive adjustments since October, reflecting the growing computational challenge.

Summary

Bitcoin's hashrate, a measure of the computational power used to mine blocks, is expected to reach 1 zettahash per second (ZH/s) before the next halving event in approximately 3.5 years. This growth, which has averaged 65% annually since 2020, places significant pressure on miners to find cost-effective solutions for power and equipment. The hashrate's increase directly impacts miners' profitability due to higher energy costs, necessitating operational optimizations. Following the halving in April 2024, which reduced block rewards by 50%, many miners faced financial strain, prompting some to diversify into AI computing or purchase bitcoin on the market. Additionally, the mining difficulty has seen seven consecutive positive adjustments since October, indicating a tougher mining environment. This simultaneous rise in hashrate and difficulty underscores the evolving challenges within the Bitcoin mining ecosystem.

coindesk
January 3, 2025
Crypto
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