Don't Expect Bitcoin Fireworks Ahead of New Year, Traders Say, as BTC ETFs Lose $420M

Key Points

  • Bearish trading in bitcoin markets continued despite MicroStrategy's large purchase, with BTC briefly falling under $92,000.
  • Traders expect the current price action to persist until February, influenced by upcoming U.S. policy changes.
  • Options market sentiment shows optimism for March, with more call options being bought.
  • BTC is set to end December with a 4% loss, its worst performance since 2021, amid profit-taking and economic slowdown signals.
  • Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced significant outflows, indicating a bearish shift in investor sentiment.

Summary

Bitcoin markets experienced continued bearish trading as the asset dipped below $92,000 despite a significant purchase by MicroStrategy, which added 2,138 BTC to its holdings. The market's reaction was muted, with BTC prices falling further after the announcement. Analysts from QCP Capital in Singapore expressed skepticism about any significant market movements in January, predicting a continuation of the current trading range until February when new U.S. policies might influence the market. The options market reflects a similar cautious optimism, with a notable increase in call options for March, suggesting expectations of a price increase. December's performance for BTC is projected to be its worst since 2021, with a 4% decline, driven by profit-taking and economic indicators like the Chicago PMI signaling a slowdown. Additionally, major cryptocurrencies like ETH, XRP, and SOL also saw declines, while ETFs holding bitcoin recorded substantial outflows, reflecting a shift towards a more cautious investor sentiment.

coindesk
December 31, 2024
Crypto
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