Experts say high food prices are here to stay. Here’s why

Key Points

  • Inflation has cooled over the past two years, but food prices have increased by 28% since 2019.
  • Over 85% of consumers are frustrated with rising grocery prices, leading many to buy fewer items.
  • Experts believe high food prices are likely to persist due to economic trends and policy limitations.

Summary

Inflation has been on a downward trend over the past two years, with notable decreases in prices for gasoline, used cars, and energy. However, food prices have not followed this trend, instead rising by 28% since 2019. A recent survey by RR Donnelley in 2024 indicates that over 85% of consumers are frustrated with these escalating grocery costs, with many opting to purchase fewer items to manage expenses. Experts like Claudia Sahm from New Century Advisors suggest that once food prices increase, they tend to remain high, even if inflation rates decrease. Policy interventions are viewed skeptically by academics like Jason Miller from Michigan State University, who argue that global economic conditions make it difficult for any single government to significantly alter food price trends. Additionally, political uncertainties, including potential tariffs and changes in workforce policies, could further complicate the situation, potentially driving food prices even higher.

cnbc
January 4, 2025
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