Fed officials signal more gradual approach to lowering rates as 2025 begins

Key Points

  • Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook advocates for a more gradual approach to lowering interest rates due to a resilient job market and persistent inflation.
  • The Fed has already reduced short-term rates by a full percentage point since September, aiming to lessen the restrictiveness of monetary policy.
  • Inflation, although reduced, remains above the Fed's 2% target, with recent data showing a PCE price index of 2.4% in November.
  • Fed officials are cautious about further rate cuts to avoid weakening the job market, with the unemployment rate at 4.2%.

Summary

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has suggested a cautious approach to further interest rate reductions, citing the resilience of the job market and the stickiness of inflation. Speaking in Ann Arbor, Michigan, Cook noted that the recent rate cuts have significantly reduced the restrictiveness of monetary policy, with short-term rates now at 4.25%-4.50%. Despite these adjustments, inflation remains above the Fed's target, with the latest PCE price index at 2.4% in November, down from a peak of 7.2% in June 2022. Other Fed officials, including Adriana Kugler and Mary Daly, have echoed Cook's sentiments, emphasizing the need to manage inflation without adversely affecting employment. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%, with a slight cooling in job additions anticipated for December. As the Fed prepares for its next meeting, the focus will be on navigating inflation back to the 2% goal amidst potential policy uncertainties from the incoming Trump administration. Cook highlighted the importance of a gradual approach to rate adjustments to maintain economic stability.

yahoo
January 6, 2025
Stocks
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