Fed's Waller still sees rate cuts in 2025 despite Trump tariff talk

Key Points

  • Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller supports interest rate cuts in 2025, expecting inflation to continue decreasing despite potential tariff impacts.
  • Waller acknowledges the uncertainty around Trump's tariff proposals but believes they won't significantly affect inflation or monetary policy if their impact is minimal.
  • The US economy is described as being on "solid footing" with no immediate signs of a weakening job market.

Summary

Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller expressed his support for cutting interest rates in 2025, anticipating that inflation will continue to trend towards the Fed's 2% target despite potential new tariffs from the Trump administration. Speaking in Paris, Waller highlighted the uncertainty surrounding the economic impact of these tariffs but suggested that if their effect on inflation is not significant, they would not alter his view on monetary policy. He emphasized the need to observe the actual policies implemented before making any definitive decisions. Waller also noted that the US economy remains robust, with no immediate signs of a weakening labor market, although he expects a gradual cooling in job growth. The next significant data point will be the labor market update for December, with expectations of steady unemployment at 4.2%. Waller's comments come amidst a backdrop of cautious optimism from other Fed officials, who are also monitoring inflation closely as they prepare for their next meeting following Trump's inauguration.

yahoo
January 8, 2025
Stocks
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