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The article discusses a notable shift in market sentiment towards MicroStrategy (MSTR), a company known for its significant Bitcoin holdings. Previously, traders were aggressively buying call options on MSTR, viewing it as a leveraged play on Bitcoin's potential rise. However, recent data indicates a change in this trend. The 250-day put-call skew for MSTR has moved from a bearish -20% to neutral, suggesting that the market's bullishness has waned. This shift coincides with a substantial decline in MSTR's share price, which has dropped by over 44% from its peak, and a 34% drop in valuation in just the past two weeks. Analysts like Markus Thielen from 10x Research have noted that the narrative of MSTR as a Bitcoin treasury asset is losing its appeal, especially as other companies adopt Bitcoin at a smaller scale. Despite MSTR's significant Bitcoin acquisitions, its stock underperformed in December, falling by 25% while Bitcoin itself only dropped by 3%. This indicates that investors are now less inclined to pay a premium for Bitcoin exposure through MSTR when they can acquire it directly at a lower cost.
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Nvidia Corp. has voiced strong opposition to forthcoming US chip export restrictions, which are set to be announced before the transition to the Trump administration. These restrictions aim to limit the export of US artificial intelligence chips, particularly targeting countries like China and Russia, by imposing caps on sales both by country and by company. Nvidia's Vice President of Government Affairs, Ned Finkle, criticized the policy, suggesting it would not enhance national security but instead drive global markets towards alternative technologies. The proposed regulations would categorize countries into three tiers, with US allies having full access to American semiconductors, while most other nations would face stringent limits on computing power. This move, according to Nvidia, could harm the US economy and benefit its adversaries. Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, expressed readiness to collaborate with the incoming Trump administration, highlighting the company's significant growth due to AI spending and its position as the world's most valuable chipmaker.
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The U.S. economy showed robust job growth in December, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting an addition of 256,000 jobs, significantly higher than the anticipated 165,000. This growth was accompanied by a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.1% from 4.2% the previous month. Wage growth aligned with expectations, increasing by 0.3% for the month, although it was slightly lower than the 0.4% seen in November. Despite these positive indicators, the labor market displayed signs of cooling, with the hiring rate and quits rate both declining. The labor force participation rate remained steady at 62.5%. Moreover, job openings rose to 8.1 million, marking the highest level since May 2023, suggesting a still tight labor market. However, private payroll additions slowed according to ADP's report, indicating a cautious approach in hiring. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that further cooling in the labor market isn't necessary to achieve the Fed's inflation targets, reflecting a nuanced view on economic policy amidst these labor market dynamics.
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Walgreens Boots Alliance reported a better-than-expected first-quarter adjusted profit, surpassing analysts' lowered expectations. Despite a significant drop in its share value in 2024, the company's stock rose 11.4% in premarket trading following the announcement. CEO Tim Wentworth's turnaround efforts, including multiple store closures, aim to improve profitability and cash flow. The company reported a loss on a reported basis due to costs from store closures and other charges, but excluding these, earnings were 51 cents per share, beating the consensus estimate of 37 cents. Walgreens reiterated its 2025 profit forecast and announced a $1 billion cost-cutting program along with plans to close over 1,200 stores. Despite these measures, the company faces ongoing challenges from low drug reimbursement rates and consumer behavior shifts, leading to speculation about potential sales to private equity firms.
