New tariffs could raise home prices and sideline potential buyers

Key Points

  • The U.S. housing market is facing increased pressure from tariffs on building materials like softwood lumber from Canada and gypsum from Mexico.
  • These tariffs could raise construction costs by $3 billion to $4 billion, affecting builders' ability to complete projects and potentially increasing home prices.
  • The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) has requested exemptions from these tariffs, citing the impact on housing affordability and construction costs.
  • The tariffs could exacerbate the affordability crisis for first-time buyers and might push Congress to enact policies encouraging entry-level construction.

Summary

The U.S. housing market, already strained by high mortgage rates, low inventory, and soaring home prices, faces further challenges due to new tariffs on building materials. President Trump's 25% tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico, key suppliers of softwood lumber and gypsum respectively, are set to increase construction costs significantly. The NAHB has highlighted that these tariffs could add $3 to $4 billion to construction costs, potentially pushing up home prices and making housing less affordable, particularly for first-time buyers. Despite a slight delay in the implementation of tariffs on Mexican goods, the threat of increased costs remains. The situation is compounded by a labor shortage in construction, exacerbated by immigration policies, and the potential for rising interest rates if inflation increases due to these tariffs. This could severely impact the spring housing market, affecting both new construction and the existing home market as potential buyers might have less disposable income for down payments.

cnbc
February 4, 2025
Stocks
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