Polymarket users bet on Canadian PM resigning before official announcement

Key Points

  • Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation on Jan. 6, 2024, stating he would step down once a successor is chosen by the Liberal Party.
  • The announcement followed reports of internal party pressure and came shortly after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's resignation due to policy disagreements.
  • Trudeau's decision was influenced by his desire to avoid internal battles within his party ahead of the next election.
  • Prior to the announcement, betting odds on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency betting platform, surged, with users betting on Trudeau's resignation and the potential next prime minister.

Summary

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation on January 6, 2024, during a press conference, stating he would step down once the Liberal Party selects a new leader. This decision came amidst reports of internal party pressure and shortly after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland resigned due to policy disagreements with Trudeau, particularly regarding potential US tariffs. Trudeau expressed that internal conflicts would hinder his effectiveness in the upcoming election, prompting his decision to resign. Before the official announcement, betting odds on Polymarket, a platform for cryptocurrency betting, showed a significant increase in bets on Trudeau's resignation, with users also betting on Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre as the likely next prime minister. The surge in political betting on Polymarket in 2024 highlighted the platform's growing use for predicting political outcomes, although it was noted that large bets by a few could sway the odds.

cointelegraph
January 6, 2025
Crypto
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