Trump tariffs will hit over $200 billion in U.S.-Canada-Mexico cross-border rail trade

Key Points

  • U.S. freight railroads are preparing for the impact of new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, China, and the EU, which could disrupt the vast traffic network connecting world economies.
  • In 2024, U.S. railroads handled an estimated $203.1 billion in cross-border trade with Canada and Mexico, with a near-even split between the two nations.
  • The rail industry supports significant economic output, with $233.4 billion in total economic output and $50 billion in direct value-added to GDP in 2023.
  • Railroads are investing heavily in infrastructure to facilitate international trade, with projects like CPKC’s Laredo Bridge and Union Pacific's intermodal ramps.
  • The U.S.-Canada rail corridor is crucial for automotive components, petroleum, forest products, and chemicals, while U.S.-Mexico trade includes automotive products, agricultural goods, and industrial materials.

Summary

As President Donald Trump prepares to impose new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, China, and the EU, U.S. freight railroads are bracing for potential disruptions in the global trade network. In 2024, these railroads managed an estimated $203.1 billion in cross-border trade with Canada and Mexico, with a balanced trade split between the two countries. The rail industry significantly contributes to the U.S. economy, generating $233.4 billion in economic output and adding $50 billion directly to GDP in 2023. The Association of American Railroads (AAR) highlights the importance of a growing economy for continued investment in transportation infrastructure. Key infrastructure projects include CPKC’s Laredo Bridge and Union Pacific's new intermodal ramps, aimed at enhancing international trade efficiency. The U.S.-Canada rail corridor is vital for industries like automotive, petroleum, and chemicals, while U.S.-Mexico trade focuses on automotive, agricultural, and industrial goods. These rail connections not only facilitate trade but also inject economic vitality into local economies at border crossings.

cnbc
March 1, 2025
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