Bitcoin on verge of largest ‘price drawdown’ of the bull market — Analyst

Key Points

  • Bitcoin is on the verge of experiencing the largest price drawdown of the current bull market cycle, with a 26.62% decline from its all-time high.
  • Historically, Bitcoin has seen more severe corrections, like an 83% drop in 2018 and a 73% drop in 2022, suggesting the current downturn is less intense.
  • The correlation between Bitcoin and the NASDAQ 100 suggests a potential struggle for Bitcoin to recover if the NASDAQ remains flat.
  • Michael Saylor’s Strategy has not purchased any Bitcoin recently, reflecting caution in the market.
  • Technical analysis indicates Bitcoin might find support at $74,000, with a significant demand zone between $65,000 and $69,000.

Summary

Bitcoin is currently facing what could be the most significant price correction of this bull market cycle, with a 26.62% drop from its all-time high of $109,500. According to CryptoQuant's head of research, Julio Moreno, this decline, while substantial, is less severe than previous bear market drawdowns. Historical data shows Bitcoin has experienced much deeper corrections, like an 83% drop in 2018 and a 73% correction in 2022. The current market conditions, including a flat NASDAQ 100, suggest that Bitcoin might struggle to recover quickly. Michael Saylor’s Strategy has also paused its Bitcoin purchases, indicating a cautious approach amidst the downturn. Technical indicators point towards potential support levels at $74,000 and a significant demand zone between $65,000 and $69,000, which could act as liquidity levels. The weekly RSI has reached its lowest since January 2023, hinting at a possible recovery if historical patterns hold true. However, the market remains volatile, and investors are advised to conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

cointelegraph
April 9, 2025
Crypto
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