Bitcoin ‘significantly de-risked here’ as nearly 80% of cyclical price correction is done — Analyst

Key Points

  • Bitcoin's futures market has experienced significant de-leveraging, reducing risk and setting the stage for potential price recovery.
  • The cryptocurrency has already undergone 75-80% of its correction, with a worst-case scenario of dropping to $70,000.
  • Current market conditions suggest a healthier reset, not overheated, which could lead to stability and a steady price recovery in the long term.

Summary

Bitcoin's futures market has undergone a significant de-leveraging event, with the leverage ratio halving since early 2025, indicating a cooling off after weeks of correction. This de-leveraging, driven by massive liquidations, has taken many traders out of the market, leading to a healthier market reset. Analyst Sina from 21st Capital suggests that Bitcoin has already completed 75-80% of its correction, with a potential worst-case scenario of dropping to $70,000. Despite the grim macro backdrop, Bitcoin is considered deeply undervalued for long-term investors. The current market conditions, with a significant drop in open interest, suggest that while short-term volatility might occur, Bitcoin is positioned for long-term stability. However, immediate recovery seems unlikely as Bitcoin is expected to move sideways within a volatility corridor of $75,000 to $96,000, with a risk of dropping below $74,500 if it fails to hold above the 365-day simple moving average.

cointelegraph
April 9, 2025
Crypto
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