Dollar Weakens as Trump Considers Naming Next Fed Chair Early

Key Points

  • Dollar Decline: The US dollar (DX=F) dropped to its lowest level in three years, with Bloomberg’s gauge falling as much as 0.4%, driven by speculation of earlier and deeper US interest rate cuts.**
  • Trump’s Influence: Reports suggest President Trump may replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by September or October, increasing expectations of rate cuts as Trump pressures for lower borrowing costs.**
  • Market Reactions: Traders have increased bets on Fed rate cuts, now pricing in 66 basis points of easing by year-end, up from 51 basis points last week, reflecting a dovish market tilt.**
  • Global Impact: The dollar weakened against major currencies, with Taiwan, South Korea, and South Africa seeing significant gains, amid broader uncertainties like tariffs and fiscal deficits.**

Summary

The US dollar has hit a three-year low, as reported by Bloomberg, amid speculation that President Donald Trump’s push for lower interest rates could lead to earlier and more substantial Federal Reserve rate cuts. Bloomberg’s dollar gauge dropped 0.4%, reflecting an 8% decline this year, following news that Trump might replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell by September or October. This development has shifted market focus, with traders now anticipating 66 basis points of rate easing by year-end, up from 51 last week. Trump’s criticism of the Fed’s high borrowing costs and potential replacements like Kevin Warsh or Kevin Hassett have added to the dollar’s woes. The currency weakened against major peers, with gains seen in Taiwan, South Korea, and South Africa. Analysts suggest this news, combined with uncertainties over tariffs and a growing fiscal deficit, is fueling a dovish outlook and selling pressure on the dollar, while some see episodes of strength as opportunities to diversify holdings.

yahoo
June 26, 2025
Stocks
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