Volatile borrowing costs stir memories of UK’s pensions crisis — but insiders say this time, it’s a ‘nice opportunity’

Key Points

  • U.K. pension funds have not only weathered recent volatility in government bonds but have also benefited from it, increasing their liability-driven investments (LDIs).
  • Gilt yields, which spiked to their highest levels in decades, have cooled but remain elevated, influenced by macroeconomic trends and policy reactions.
  • The 2022 mini-budget crisis led to emergency market interventions, but current market conditions are more stable due to improved governance and higher funding ratios in pension schemes.
  • Higher yields have provided an opportunity for pension schemes to enhance their funding levels and manage volatility effectively.
  • Pension funds are now better prepared with higher collateral buffers and less reliance on leverage, reducing the risk of a repeat of the 2022 crisis.

Summary

The recent spike in U.K. borrowing costs has brought back memories of the 2022 mini-budget crisis, but this time, pension funds have managed the situation adeptly. Unlike the previous crisis, which saw pension funds on the brink of collapse due to a massive sell-off in U.K. debt, current market conditions have been more stable. Pension providers have not only weathered the volatility in government bonds but have also benefited from it, increasing their liability-driven investments (LDIs). Gilt yields, after reaching their highest levels in decades, have cooled but remain elevated, influenced by global economic trends and reactions to U.K. fiscal policy. The improved governance, higher funding ratios, and lower leverage in pension schemes since 2022 have helped avoid the kind of disruption seen previously. Moreover, higher yields have provided an opportunity for pension schemes to enhance their funding levels, reducing the need for growth assets and increasing stability in the market. Despite these positive developments, the demand for new gilts from pension funds might not increase significantly, as many schemes are already well-hedged.

cnbc
January 29, 2025
Stocks
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