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Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), a leading cryptocurrency exchange with a $79.8 billion market cap, operates a robust platform for digital assets, catering to consumers, institutions, and developers. Over the past 52 weeks, COIN’s stock has surged 61.5%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 20.1% gain, and year-to-date, it’s up 25.1% against SPX’s 8.6%. However, its Q2 earnings on July 31 disappointed, with revenue of $1.5 billion missing estimates despite a 3.3% year-over-year increase, driven by a drop in transaction revenues. Adjusted EPS plummeted 89.1% to $0.12, triggering a 16.7% share price decline. Analysts project a 37.5% EPS drop for the fiscal year to $4.75, though COIN’s earnings history shows inconsistency. The stock holds a "Moderate Buy" consensus from 31 analysts, with a mean price target of $371.33 (19.6% upside) and a high of $510 (64.2% upside), despite a recent downgrade by Compass Point to "Sell." While COIN has lagged behind the First Trust SkyBridge Crypto ETF’s gains, its long-term potential in the crypto space remains a focal point for investors.
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Inflation remained persistent in July, with core inflation (excluding food and energy) rising 0.3% month-over-month, the highest in six months, and 3.1% year-over-year, up from 2.9% in June, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Headline CPI held steady at a 2.7% annual increase, below the expected 2.8%, with a 0.2% monthly rise driven by lower gasoline and softer food prices. Specific categories like footwear (up 1.4%), furniture, and airline fares saw notable increases, hinting at tariff-related cost pass-through as the US effective tariff rate hits 18.6%, the highest since 1933. Despite sticky inflation, experts like Seema Shah from Principal Asset Management believe the data won't deter the Federal Reserve from a potential rate cut in September, with investors now estimating a 90% chance of a 0.25% cut. However, future inflationary pressures from tariffs could complicate later rate decisions. Markets reacted positively, with stocks rising and the 10-year Treasury yield below 4.3%, reflecting optimism for monetary easing. The report underscores ongoing trade policy impacts and raises questions about the Fed's balancing act between inflation control and economic growth.
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Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL), the company behind the USDC stablecoin, unveiled Arc, a new layer-1 blockchain focused on stablecoin applications, on August 12, 2025. Arc, compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine, uses USDC as its native gas token and aims to support enterprise-grade stablecoin payments and capital markets solutions. A public testnet is slated for this fall, with full integration into Circle’s platform and interoperability with numerous partner blockchains. Alongside this launch, Circle reported impressive Q2 2025 earnings, with a 53% year-over-year revenue increase to $658 million and a 52% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $126 million. However, a net loss of $482 million was recorded due to non-cash charges tied to its recent IPO. Following its public debut on the NYSE in June 2025, Circle’s stock surged 6.5% in pre-market trading to $172.01. CEO Jeremy Allaire highlighted the company’s sustained growth and adoption across diverse use cases. With a market cap of $65 billion, Circle holds a significant 24% share of the stablecoin market since its founding in 2013.
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Do Kwon, the South Korean cryptocurrency entrepreneur behind Terraform Labs, is set to plead guilty to charges of conspiracy to defraud and wire fraud in a U.S. court. Kwon, who developed the TerraUSD stablecoin and Luna token, is accused of misleading investors by falsely claiming a computer algorithm stabilized TerraUSD’s value in 2021, when he allegedly orchestrated secret purchases to prop up its price. This deception contributed to the $40 billion collapse of both currencies in 2022, impacting retail and institutional investors. Initially pleading not guilty to a nine-count indictment, Kwon now faces sentencing following his plea. In 2024, he settled with the SEC for $4.55 billion, including an $80 million fine and a crypto transaction ban. Detained since his extradition from Montenegro, Kwon is among several crypto figures charged amid the 2022 digital token market crash.
