It's Trump's economy now. The latest financial numbers offer some warning signs

Key Points

  • Economic Indicators Worsen: Job growth is declining, inflation is rising, and economic growth has slowed compared to last year, contradicting President Trump's promise of an economic "golden age."**
  • Policy Impacts Unfolding: Trump's tariffs, tax reforms, and spending cuts are reshaping trade and economic systems, with potential inflationary effects of tariffs expected to hit in 2026, coinciding with midterm elections.**
  • Public Perception and Political Risk: Only 38% of adults approve of Trump's economic handling per a recent AP-NORC poll, down from 50% at the end of his first term, posing significant political risks if prosperity isn't delivered.**
  • Recent Data Highlights Concerns: The latest jobs report shows a loss of 37,000 manufacturing jobs since April, net hiring has dropped sharply, and GDP growth is down to 1.3% annually from 2.8% last year.**
  • Federal Reserve Tensions: Trump's push for lower interest rates, despite inflation risks, and his criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell could exacerbate economic challenges.**

Summary

President Donald Trump's economic policies, including tariff hikes, tax reforms, and spending cuts, are reshaping the U.S. economy more than six months into his term, but recent data paints a troubling picture. Job growth has plummeted, with only 73,000 jobs added in July, while manufacturing has lost 37,000 jobs since April. Inflation has risen to 2.6% annually, and GDP growth has slowed to 1.3% from 2.8% last year. Despite Trump's claims of a booming economy, public approval of his economic handling stands at just 38%, down from 50% at the end of his first term. His aggressive tariffs, set to fully impact prices by 2026, pose political risks for Republicans in upcoming elections. Trump has deflected blame, firing the head of the jobs report agency and criticizing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates, a move some warn could fuel inflation. While the White House remains optimistic, touting deregulation and trade deals as future growth drivers, critics and economic reports suggest a sluggish economy with potential for further disruption. Former President Joe Biden had warned of the consumer burden of universal tariffs, a concern now echoing as prices for imported goods rise. Whether these challenges are temporary growing pains or signs of deeper issues remains uncertain, but Trump's economic gamble carries high stakes for both policy and politics.

yahoo
August 3, 2025
Stocks
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