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Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) traders are bracing for potential price declines this summer, as evidenced by options strategies like 25-delta risk reversals on Deribit, which show a preference for downside protection through put options. BTC's risk reversals for June to August are negative, and ETH puts are pricier through July, indicating hedging against spot market exposure. Over-the-counter trades on Paradigm further reflect bearish sentiment with BTC put spreads and ETH volatility plays. Bitcoin, hovering above $100,000 for over 40 days, recently dipped below its 50-day SMA, signaling possible further drops below this threshold due to profit-taking and miner selling offsetting ETF demand. Coinbase Institutional notes rising open interest in BTC options with a positive put-call skew, suggesting short-term protective buying. However, some analysts remain bullish, with observer Cas Abbé pointing to strong buying pressure via on-balance volume, forecasting a potential rise to $130,000-$135,000 by the end of Q3. This mixed outlook underscores a market caught between caution and optimism amidst sideways price action.
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US stocks, led by the tech sector, mostly rose on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.6% and the S&P 500 up over 0.2%, nearing record highs. Nvidia (NVDA) surged 2.63%, eyeing a record close, while Tesla (TSLA) fell over 5% due to a 41% drop in EU sales. Market sentiment was lifted by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hints at potential early interest rate cuts, with investors keenly awaiting further testimony and the PCE inflation report on Friday. Additionally, a US-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel, holding without reported conflicts, eased geopolitical tensions, supporting a modest rise in oil prices, with Brent futures above $66 a barrel. Other notable movements included Reddit (RDDT) extending gains with a 40% monthly climb and BlackBerry (BB) jumping 10% on strong cybersecurity demand. However, concerns linger over inflation data and the impact of Trump's tariffs on prices, alongside individual stock challenges like Tesla's sales slump and Novo Nordisk's fallout with Hims & Hers over weight-loss drug strategies.
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Nvidia (NVDA) shares climbed over 2% in early trading, nearing a new record high above $149.43, marking a significant rebound from earlier struggles in 2023. The AI chipmaker's stock surged 12% since its May 28 earnings report, which outperformed Wall Street forecasts despite a China export ban costing billions in lost revenue. Loop Capital raised its price target to $250, projecting a potential $6 trillion market cap, citing Nvidia's dominance in AI chip technology. However, challenges persist with competition from Huawei in China and uncertainty over sustained AI infrastructure demand as Big Tech spending outpaces revenue. Earlier setbacks included stock drops due to Trump's trade policies and a cheap Chinese AI model, with shares hitting a low of $94 in April. Nvidia's recovery was supported by major deals with Saudi Arabia and the UAE, briefly overtaking Microsoft as the world's most valuable company in June. Meanwhile, tech stocks, including Intel and Broadcom, also rallied, with investor inflows into tech reaching a peak not seen since June 2024, as the Nasdaq indices hit record levels.
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Shiba Inu (SHIB), a prominent meme coin with a $6.6 billion market cap, has experienced a turbulent 2024, losing about 50% of its value by June 23. Despite this, the article highlights two reasons to consider buying SHIB before 2025: its potential for high volatility-driven gains, as seen in a 1,000% surge in 2021, and its role as a source of entertainment and social connection, especially through meme coin communities. However, the piece cautions that SHIB is best suited for those with extra cash seeking fun rather than serious investment. In contrast, Bitcoin (BTC), with a $2 trillion market cap, is presented as a superior long-term asset. As the first cryptocurrency, Bitcoin holds a unique reputational advantage and widespread acceptance among investors, akin to gold’s status as a safe haven. While SHIB’s allure lies in its speculative excitement and social aspects, Bitcoin is recommended for those focused on building wealth over decades due to its stability and established value. The article ultimately suggests that while SHIB can be a playful addition to a portfolio, Bitcoin remains the better choice for serious, long-term investment strategies.
