Key Points
- Bitcoin is trading below its recent all-time highs, testing support levels from late 2024.
- A potential "deeper pullback" is anticipated before bullish momentum resumes for price discovery.
- Profit-taking is identified as a primary cause of current market resistance.
- The upcoming weekly candle close at $104,450 is critical for assessing bullish strength.
- Analysts remain optimistic about a bull market return, though delays and lower levels are expected first.
Summary
Bitcoin (BTC) faces a potential setback in its bull run as it trades below recent all-time highs, with a correction of 8% bringing prices nearly $9,000 below the latest peak on May 31, 2025. Analysis from CryptoQuant and market commentators warns of a "deeper pullback" due to profit-taking and slowing demand metrics, with unrealized profits averaging over 30% at $111,000. Onchain data indicates a pause in whale accumulation and a demand growth of 229K BTC in the last 30 days, nearing a previous top. Traders like Mags and Aksel Kibar highlight the importance of the upcoming weekly close at $104,450, suggesting a failure to hold this level could lead to further declines before a recovery. Despite short-term concerns, long-term bullish sentiment persists, with midterm price targets ranging from $120,000 to $137,000. Market participants are advised to remain cautious, as lower levels may precede the next upward leg, potentially forming patterns like an inverse Head and Shoulders. The analysis underscores the volatile nature of Bitcoin's current phase, urging investors to conduct thorough research before making decisions.