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Bitcoin's price faced significant pressure, dipping below $102,000, as geopolitical tensions escalated with US President Donald Trump's confirmation of strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities on June 22, 2025. The announcement, shared via Truth Social, urged Iran to seek peace to avoid further attacks, contributing to a souring of crypto market sentiment ahead of a volatile Wall Street trading week. Despite the decline, Bitcoin traders expressed cautious optimism, referencing historical patterns where war-related headlines, such as the Ukraine conflict in 2022, led to substantial BTC price surges even in bear markets. Current analysis suggests a potential local bottom around $97,000, supported by exchange order book liquidity data from CoinGlass. Traders like Cas Abbe speculated on a further drop to $93,000-$94,000 before a reversal, though with only a 20%-25% likelihood, while others like Crypto Tony emphasized the importance of holding above $104,500 for bullish control. As Bitcoin risks its lowest weekly close since early May, the interplay of geopolitical uncertainty and market dynamics continues to shape its trajectory, with some believing the current bull market above $100,000 could amplify a historical repeat of gains fueled by war fears. Investors are advised to conduct thorough research, as market movements remain inherently risky.
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FedEx has expressed caution for the upcoming year, forecasting a first-quarter profit of $3.40 to $4 per share, falling short of the expected $4.06 per share, due to volatile global demand and uncertainties in U.S. trade policies, particularly with China. This led to a premarket share drop of over 5%. The company, more exposed to China trade than rival UPS, refrained from issuing full-year forecasts amid Trump's fluctuating tariffs and the termination of duty-free status for direct-to-consumer shipments from China-based retailers like Temu and Shein. Despite these challenges, FedEx reported strong fiscal fourth-quarter results ending May 31, with adjusted profit rising to $1.46 billion ($6.07 per share) from $1.34 billion the previous year, and revenue increasing to $22.2 billion, exceeding analyst expectations. However, both FedEx and UPS are grappling with reduced delivery profits as customers opt for cheaper ground shipping over air services, alongside stalled industrial demand. FedEx also announced plans to spin off its trucking business by June 2026, signaling strategic shifts amid ongoing market pressures.
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President Trump's military strike on Iranian nuclear targets on June 21 showcased his strategic use of powerful "bunker buster" bombs, enabling a swift victory declaration. However, in his ongoing trade war with multiple nations, Trump lacks a comparable decisive tool, often relying on tariff threats that some perceive as bluffs. Despite raising average import taxes from 2.5% to 15%, his adversaries, like China, counter with measures such as limiting rare-earth magnet exports, impacting US industries. Trump's risk-taking was evident in the Iran strike, a move past presidents avoided, capitalizing on a weakened enemy. In contrast, the trade war reveals his vulnerabilities, with markets anticipating deadline extensions, such as the upcoming July 9 cutoff, rather than severe actions. Analysts suggest Trump may delay tariffs further, potentially collecting significant revenue while avoiding market turmoil. His negotiations, particularly with China, remain murky, lacking clear demands, which could undermine his credibility. While Trump excels at exploiting weakness, as seen in Iran, the trade war's complexities and adversaries' strengths limit his leverage, leading to a cycle of bluffs and market adjustments rather than conclusive wins.
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As Middle East tensions persist, everyday investors, especially those nearing retirement, remain anxious despite a market rebound and a ceasefire between Iran and Israel announced by President Trump. Financial experts, consulted by Yahoo Finance, urge calm and a long-term perspective amidst volatility. They caution against market timing, instead advising to maintain cash reserves for stability, regularly review portfolios to align with personal goals and risk tolerance, and adjust allocations based on life stage—shifting to bonds for retirees while younger investors can favor stocks. Experts like JL Collins highlight the market’s resilience with a 13% average annual S&P 500 return despite recent turmoil, while Diane Harris stresses controlling personal responses through cash buffers. Christine Benz suggests diversifying with global stock exposure and using bonds to safeguard against downturns for those closer to retirement. The consensus is to stay the course with a balanced, diversified portfolio tailored to individual circumstances, ensuring resilience against geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
